Prices of rubber of home of second half of the year will continue wide cut concu
From; Author:Stand originally
Look into market level of balata of our country of second half of the year, predict to will continue its are acuteness concussion pattern. On one hand, suffer manufacturing cost to rise, oil price and capital of huge amount seize a chance to seek private gain swarm into option market to spread out force posture affects the storehouse, predict price of balata of the home inside a paragraph of period, especially perch of natural balata price runs a phase as before, and do not eliminate innovate again high probability. On the other hand, the development trend of macroscopical economy level and supply demand relations does not support balata price to continue to rise. After the provisionality of eliminate spec capital buys demand, look for a long time from which, the authenticity demand of domestic balata or demand trend are in abate. This kind of abate body now the following respects: Export growth momentum is apparent fall after a rise. According to statistic of customs total office, before export of tire cover tyre increased 6% compared to the same period in May, amplitude is compared last year fall after a rise of the corresponding period 15 percent, other rubber products exports a level to also have fall after a rise more. According to data of statistic of Chinese Society of Rubber Industry, delivery of exit of industry of rubber of its member company is worth 1 quarter to grow 17.05% compared to the same period, than last year amplitude fall after a rise 10.6 percent. While the exit of products of of all kinds rubber such as tire increases fast fall after a rise, domestic car output also is in decelerate. According to statistic, before in May accumulative total, countrywide car output grows 18.1% compared to the same period, than last year the corresponding period adds fast slow down 4 percent. Suffer its to affect, the case of balata product birth such as domestic tire is not quite good. According to statistic, 1~5 month accumulative total, countrywide tire crop (contain all sorts of cover tyre, similarly hereinafter) grow 12.9% compared to the same period, growth range is compared last year fall after a rise of the corresponding period 12 percent, among them May fall after a rise of tire crop amplitude nearly 28 percent, other rubber products is added fast also have slow down. Situation of decelerate of output of predicting balata product is turned round hard inside year, annual balata consumes amplitude under go up year of level. Price of international market oil blazes new trails repeatedly tall, cost is produced in what increased balata, push prices of tall whole rubber while, also arose to oneself demand great restrain. As global oil price climb all the way litre, each country finance can'ts bear heavy burden, decrease in succession even the price allowance with oily to finished product throw the helve after the hatchet. When the person that use is faced with real market value, high oil price can have been been opposite certainly consumptive demand generation of Yu Wangcheng is very large restrain. The viewpoint thinks, government of whole world each country all abolishs the subsidy to fuel, will make 20%~30% of global petroleum slow down in demand, prompt improvement of supply demand relations thereby, cause oil price fall after a rise finally, reduce balata to produce cost then. Not only such, high oil price still will raise the use cost of motor vehicle greatly, the demand of reductive motor vehicle and travel course of development, control the consumption level of the rubber products such as tire.
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